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Hurricane Lane Intermediate Advisory number 9A
Nws tpc/National Hurricane Center Miami FL ep132006
500 pm PDT fri sep 15 2006
Lane rapidly strengthens into a category two hurricane passing just west of Islas Marias.
A hurricane warning remains in effect for the coast of the Mexican mainland from El Roblito to Altata. A hurricane warning means that hurricane conditions are expected within the warning area within the next 24 hours. Preparations to protect life and propertyshould be rushed to completion.
A hurricane warning remains in effect for Baja California Sur, south of Agua Blanca on the pacific coast and south of Buena Vista on the Gulf of California coast. A hurricane warning also remains in effect for the Islas Marias.
A hurricane watch remains in effect for the coast of the Mexican mainland north of Altata to Huatabampito and for the Gulf of California coast of Baja California north of Buena Vista to Loreto. A tropical storm warning and a hurricane watch remain in effect south of El Roblito to Manzanillo. For storm information specific to your area including possible inland watches and warnings please monitor products issued by your local weather office.
At 5:00 pm PDT the center of Hurricane Lane was located near latitude 21.2 north, longitude 106.6 west or about 80 miles - 130 km - west-northwest of Cabo Corrientes Mexico and about 240 miles - 390 km - east-southeast of Cabo San Lucas Mexico. Lane is moving toward the north-northwest near 13 mph - 20 km/hr. This general motion is expected to continue with a gradual decrease in forward speed during the next 24 hours. The eye of Hurricane
Lane is forecast to remain offshore of mainland Mexico during the next 24 hours. However any deviation to the right of the forecast track could bring hurricane conditions near the coast.
Maximum sustained winds are now near 100 mph - 160 km/hr - with higher gusts. This makes Lane a category two hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale. Additional strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours and lane could become a major hurricane on Saturday, September 16th. Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 25 miles - 35 km- from the center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 85 miles - 40 km. The estimated minimum central pressure is 975 mb...28.79 inches.
Coastal storm surge flooding of up to 4 feet above normal tide levels accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves can be expected in areas of onshore flow near the path of the center of
Lane. Total rainfall accumulations of 4 to 8 inches with possible isolated maximum amounts to 10 inches are possible along the west central coast of Mexico and over the southern Baja Peninsula. These rainfall amounts could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.
The next advisory will be issued by the national hurricane center at 800 pm pdt.
Forecaster roberts/stewart
National hurricane center http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
National Hurricane Center http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
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