Hurricane Lane
Updates and Photographs from Cabo San Lucas and Los Cabos
as Hurricane Lane approaches Baja California Sur, Mexico

Hurricane Lane Intermediate Advisory Number 12A

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132006
1100 AM PDT SAT SEP 16 2006

DANGEROUS CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE LANE ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL IN NORTHWESTERN MEXICO

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM EL ROBLITO TO TOPOLOBAMPO. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM NORTH OF TOPOLOBAMPO TO HUATABAMPITO. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM SAN EVARISTO TO CABO SAN LUCAS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1100 AM PDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LANE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.2 WEST OR ABOUT 60 MILES...95 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CULIACAN MEXICO AND ABOUT 80 MILES...130 KM...NORTHWEST OF MAZATLAN MEXICO.

LANE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF LANE ACROSS THE COAST OF MEXICO IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LANE IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS LIKELY BEFORE LANDFALL FOLLOWED BY WEAKENING AFTER LANDFALL. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY ENROUTE TO INVESTIGATE LANE.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 952 MB...28.11 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW NEAR THE PATH OF THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LANE.

TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE WEST-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 TO 25 INCHES POSSIBLE OVER THE MOUNTAINOUS AREAS OF WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS
COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. CAJON DE PENA IN THE STATE OF JALISCO HAS REPORTED 7.36 INCHES OF RAIN DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 200 PM PDT.

FORECASTER BEVEN