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Hurricane Paul Advisory Number 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172006
800 AM PDT MON OCT 23 2006
Paul Strengthening as it Turns Northward
A hurricane watch remains in effect for the southern Baja California Peninsula from Agua Blanca southward on the west coast and from La Paz southward on the east coast. A hurricane watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 36 hours. Additional watches or warnings may be required later today.
For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local weather office.
At 800 AM PDT ... 1500z ... the center of Hurricane Paul was located near latitude 16.5 north, longitude 111.5 west or about 455 miles (730 km) south-southwest of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico.
Paul is moving toward the north-northwest near 5 mph (7 km/hr) and a gradual turn toward the north with an increase in forward speed is expected later today.
Maximum sustained winds are near 110 mph (175 km/hr) with higher gusts. Paul could become a category three hurricane later today. A US Air Force reserve unit reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the hurricane this afternoon.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center. Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km).
Estimated minimum central pressure is 965 mb (28.50 inches).
An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at 1100 am pdt followed by the next complete advisory at 200 pm pdt.
Forecaster Rhome/Pasch
The current projected path will bring Hurricane Paul near Los Cabos sometime Tuesday afternoon or Wednesday morning. It looks like Paul could miss the Los Cabos area with its full force, but could still bring high winds and heavy rains. Hurricane precautions and tropical storm preparations would be advisable for Monday and Tuesday until this storm has past.
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